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Bitcoin has fallen to below $63,000, losing more than 16% of its value over the past month as investors rotate capital toward artificial intelligence stocks and major initial public offerings, according to market analysts. The shift reflects a fundamental change in momentum-driven trading patterns, with crypto losing ground to competing speculative opportunities in equities and pre-IPO platforms.
Quick Facts
- Bitcoin dropped 16% in the past month while the S&P 500 gained 5%
- Spot bitcoin ETF flows explain roughly 45% of weekly BTC price moves and posted 11 straight days of net outflows
- SpaceX IPO priced at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion capital raise on June 12
- Momentum traders are chasing AI stocks and pre-IPO platforms instead of crypto
The Momentum Trade Shifts Away From Crypto
Charles Schwab director Jim Ferraioli argues that Bitcoin’s weakness reflects a broader rotation into AI, IPOs, and other momentum trades rather than institutional selling pressure. The distinction matters because Bitcoin isn’t facing a crisis of confidence among long-term holders—it’s losing out to hotter speculative opportunities.
Crypto traders aren’t fundamentally driven investors. They chase momentum wherever it appears. For years, that momentum centered on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Today, it has shifted decisively toward artificial intelligence infrastructure stocks, data-center companies, and blockbuster IPOs. SpaceX alone is preparing an IPO valued at as much as $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, drawing liquidity away from risk assets including cryptocurrencies.
Crypto crashes as investors rotate into AI, IPOs, leaving Bitcoin below $63K
Why Bitcoin is dropping: Investors rotate to AI, IPOs as fresh demand dries up
The competition extends into crypto-native platforms themselves. Decentralized exchanges now allow traders to speculate on synthetic contracts tied to private pre-IPO shares, giving momentum-chasers exposure to companies expected to go public without needing to hold Bitcoin or other digital assets. That shift highlights how crypto-native trading infrastructure is increasingly enabling investors to speculate on assets beyond cryptocurrencies.
Fresh Demand, Not Selling, Is the Core Problem
While some major holders have reduced positions, analysts say the real issue lies elsewhere. Citi estimates spot bitcoin ETF flows explain roughly 45% of weekly BTC price moves and remain the best gauge of investor adoption. The bank reported Bitcoin ETFs experienced 11 straight days of net outflows, signaling a broader lack of investor demand for fresh positions.
Ferraioli downplayed recent sales as a convenient narrative attached to a broader trend already underway. Instead, he points to investor cost bases: many ETF investors are recovering from sharp price swings and see current levels as an opportunity to exit positions rather than add to them. That dynamic has contributed to a market that feels fundamentally different from previous euphoric phases of the crypto cycle.
The absence of new buying pressure is compounded by seasonal weakness. Summer has historically been one of Bitcoin’s weaker periods as trading activity declines and investors shift attention elsewhere. Combined with fading prospects for regulatory clarity in the U.S., sentiment remains subdued despite investor rotation to AI and IPOs creating a structurally different market environment.
Why Institutional Adoption Isn’t Enough
Bitcoin has secured spot ETF approvals, attracted billions in institutional capital, and moved closer to regulatory clarity. Yet despite those developments, the largest cryptocurrency has struggled to sustain explosive rallies. Ferraioli argues this reveals a fundamental truth: Bitcoin remains primarily a retail, momentum-driven asset.
Retail investors react differently from traditional institutional allocators. Rather than building positions based on long-term valuation frameworks, they chase trends. That behavior helps explain why Bitcoin has failed to capitalize on positive developments like expanded ETF access or regulatory progress. The S&P 500’s 5% gain during Bitcoin’s 16% decline underscores how thoroughly the momentum trade has rotated away from crypto.
For now, the biggest challenge facing Bitcoin isn’t selling pressure from major holders, regulation, or macroeconomics. It’s that investors have found something else to chase, and until momentum swings back toward crypto, fresh demand is likely to remain elusive. The arrival of mega-IPOs like SpaceX at $135 per share ensures that competing narratives will continue drawing capital away from digital assets.
Sources
- ECIKS.org (via CoinDesk) — Charles Schwab director Jim Ferraioli’s analysis on Bitcoin losing momentum trade to AI and IPOs; Bitcoin’s 16% monthly decline; S&P 500 gains; crypto investor behavior patterns
- ECIKS.org (via CoinDesk) — Citi’s report on ETF flows, 11-day outflow streak, 45% of weekly BTC price moves, and role of fresh investor demand
- ECIKS.org — SpaceX IPO pricing at $135 per share, $75 billion capital raise target, $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion valuation, June 12 Nasdaq debut











