Home Depot beats Q2 earnings estimates, reaffirms full-year guidance

Home Depot beat second-quarter earnings expectations on August 18, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $4.92 against analyst consensus of $4.73, while reaffirming its full-year 2026 guidance amid what executives described as a frozen housing market.

Revenue for the quarter reached $47.86 billion, surpassing the expected $47.27 billion and representing a 5.7% increase from the prior-year quarter. The home improvement retailer also achieved comparable sales growth of 1.7%, beating Street expectations of 0.9% and marking the highest comparable sales number the company has posted since the third quarter of 2022, according to CNBC.

Home Depot’s financial performance was bolstered in part by $730 million in tariff refunds received during the second quarter. CFO Richard McPhail told CNBC that these refunds represented “the vast majority” of what the company expects to receive and that Home Depot used $685 million of those refunds to reduce the cost of goods sold, with the remaining $45 million sitting in inventory. McPhail said the tariff refunds allow the retailer to “maintain value” despite cost pressures in other areas, including unplanned fuel and energy costs.

Despite the earnings beat, Home Depot maintained its cautious outlook. McPhail told CNBC the company continues to operate in “frozen housing market conditions,” a phrase that signals the challenging environment for home sales and mortgage activity that has pressured demand for major home projects. He noted that while Home Depot saw “broad engagement” across its categories and is “taking share” in both its professional and do-it-yourself businesses, greater market uncertainty led the company to reaffirm rather than raise its guidance.

The company’s full-year fiscal 2026 guidance calls for total sales growth between 2.5% and 4.5% and an operating margin between 12.4% and 12.6%. McPhail said Home Depot’s customer base remains “a healthy cohort,” though consumers have not yet returned to larger projects. “They’ve told us they have the means to spend, they’re just hesitant,” he said, citing consumer concerns about inflation, fuel costs, and general economic uncertainty.

McPhail emphasized that Home Depot is focused on “controlling what we can control” and remains committed to investment despite the housing slowdown. “We have been consistent through the years that in spite of a frozen housing environment, we’re going to keep leaning into investment because we know that over the long run, conditions for home improvement demand are strong,” he told CNBC.

The earnings announcement came as Home Depot’s chief executive officer, Ted Decker, takes a temporary medical leave of absence for a few months. Ann-Marie Campbell, Home Depot’s senior executive vice president of U.S. stores and operations, will oversee day-to-day operations, while McPhail will head the financial management and professional business during the transition.

Home Depot’s tariff refunds reflect a broader trend among major U.S. retailers and importers. According to CNBC, companies ranging from Target to Walmart are due more than $160 billion in tariff refunds following a February Supreme Court decision. Other major companies such as Apple, Nike, Amazon, and FedEx have reported receiving refunds ranging from $600 million to $2 billion, as reported by NPR in mid-August.

The company’s ability to maintain market share during a housing slowdown aligns with its strategy of investing in its professional customer base, which executives have said is largely unaffected by macroeconomic conditions tied to home sales. The strong comparable sales growth in Q2 suggests that this approach is resonating with both pro and DIY customers, even as broader housing market headwinds persist.

Sources

  • CNBC — Home Depot’s Q2 earnings beat, reaffirmed full-year guidance, CFO commentary on frozen housing market, tariff refunds, and CEO medical leave
  • Investing.com — Adjusted EPS beat ($4.92 vs. $4.73) and revenue figures ($47.86 billion)
  • NPR — Tariff refund amounts for major companies including Apple, Amazon, Nike, and FedEx
  • Reuters (via CNBC) — Comparable sales growth of 1.7% vs. expected 0.9%

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